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Super Backwardation

Feb 9, 2022 8:14:04 PM

 

"Deepest Backwardation Since ‘07 Shows World Short on Commodities"

“I’ve Never Seen A Market Like This”: Goldman Sees Shortages Of Everything, “You Name It, We’re Out Of It”

 

Screaming headlines. What's going on?

Backwardation? That simply means the current (spot) price is higher than the future price.

It's not always bad. For example: the December price for winter coats is normally higher than the July price.

But often, it means there is an immediate supply shortage.

And that is the problem, right now. In fact, some believe we are in a "super-backwardation".

"...futures curves in several key markets are trading in super-backwardation – a structure that indicates traders are paying bumper premiums for immediate supply." (Activist Post)

 

Take a look at diesel prices.

 

Backwardation Graph

 

"Bloomberg notes that diesel futures are in their strongest backwardation since 2008, excluding expiry days."

Yeah... our inflation prediction is coming true.

Here's what's wild: some analysts are ALSO predicting deflation!

So it's a complicated picture. And I will unpack it for you tomorrow night.

What does it mean for Water On Demand™*? For you? For your family?

Tune in for answers.

Join me... at 5pm Pacific, 8pm EasternTOMORROW, THURSDAY 10 FEBRUARYJust click here to register!

(And if you can't make it, you will get the replay automatically.)

Yours in Water,

Riggs EckelberryPresident & CEOOriginClear, Inc. (OCLN)Water On Demand™


* Water On Demand is a pilot program that is expected to evolve with commercialization.

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